Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.008589 0.009683 0.010882 0.012297 0.013926 0.015748 0.017945
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.006929 0.008423 0.010207 0.012510 0.015426 0.019021 0.023831
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.005935 0.007575 0.009647 0.012486 0.016318 0.021375 0.028655
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.005048 0.006687 0.008851 0.011955 0.016365 0.022508 0.031898
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.004526 0.006193 0.008478 0.011896 0.016976 0.024411 0.036417
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.004295 0.006060 0.008566 0.012465 0.018523 0.027823 0.043684
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003830 0.005535 0.008027 0.012026 0.018464 0.028742 0.047076
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003468 0.005124 0.007608 0.011711 0.018538 0.029847 0.050898
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003233 0.004880 0.007413 0.011720 0.019124 0.031848 0.056573
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003137 0.004840 0.007531 0.012243 0.020626 0.035607 0.066093
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002929 0.004602 0.007304 0.012153 0.021035 0.037437 0.072161
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002782 0.004451 0.007203 0.012269 0.021818 0.040052 0.080242
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002575 0.004189 0.006906 0.012023 0.021939 0.041487 0.086282
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002461 0.004078 0.006862 0.012241 0.022992 0.044958 0.097571
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002321 0.003911 0.006700 0.012217 0.023550 0.047475 0.107147
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002125 0.003627 0.006304 0.011699 0.023031 0.047591 0.110914
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002010 0.003481 0.006150 0.011641 0.023471 0.049895 0.120676
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001983 0.003494 0.006293 0.012197 0.025307 0.055678 0.140918
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001839 0.003276 0.005977 0.011768 0.024891 0.056047 0.146305
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001720 0.003100 0.005729 0.011461 0.024717 0.056985 0.153550
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001646 0.003004 0.005632 0.011470 0.025285 0.059877 0.167314
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001629 0.003018 0.005757 0.011980 0.027122 0.066369 0.193971
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001553 0.002911 0.005624 0.011892 0.027473 0.068925 0.208517